In this insightful episode, Alan Pentz speaks with Moses Sternstein about the fundamental shifts in capital markets. They explore the transition from the low-interest "finance bro" era to what Moses calls the "national nursing home" economy, examining how rising rates and demographic changes are reshaping investment strategies and capital allocation.
Alan Pentz and Moses Sternstein dive deep into the changing landscape of capital markets and investment strategies. They examine the shift from a low-interest rate environment that favored private equity and venture capital to a new era of higher rates and increasing healthcare spending. Moses explains how mandatory government spending, particularly on healthcare, has grown from 30% to nearly 70% of the federal budget, fundamentally altering the economic landscape.
The conversation explores Apollo's strategic pivot towards private credit, the evolution of capital markets, and the growing intersection between government policy and private capital allocation. They discuss how asset-heavy investments in AI, clean energy, and infrastructure are changing traditional investment models, and debate the implications of China's industrial policy on global markets.
Episode Highlights:
- [00:01:29] Introduction to the "finance bro" vs "national nursing home" concept
- [00:39:43] Discussion of shifting investment returns from equity to lending
- [00:34:41] Analysis of Apollo's strategy and private credit's rise
- [00:41:16] Exploration of government's role in capital allocation
- [00:47:48] Discussion of asset-heavy investments in modern technology
- [00:49:37] Analysis of market visibility and economic indicators
Episode Resources: